Guava.bet
Loss calculator

What you've lost. In numbers.

You don't need to know your exact results. With how much you play and for how long, the bookmaker's math already says what it has cost you on average. It's not a prediction: it's the fixed price the business is designed to charge you.

The idea

Why time plays against you.

Every odds line carries a hidden margin.

When a bookmaker prices a match, it doesn't share out 100% of the probability: it shares out 105%, 110%. That excess is its margin, and it collects it on every slip, whether you win or lose. A single bet can go well. A thousand bets won't.

That's why the number that matters isn't what you stake once, but the total volume that passes through the bookmaker over time. You re-stake what you win, you come back next week, and the margin bites every time. Here you see it added up, in euros.

Work out what betting costs you

Answer two things and pick the type of bet you make most.

The total that passes through the bookmaker: what you deposit plus what you re-stake from winnings.

Count the ones behind you, or the ones you plan to keep going.

Singles, the odd accumulator, varied markets. The most common profile.

House margin

7%

Cut built into the odds

Total volume staked

4,680 €

The money, played and replayed

What you've handed the bookmakers in 3 years

-328

Of the 4,680 € that passed through the bookmaker, 7% stays on its side of the counter. That's 328 € that didn't come back — and not through bad luck, but by design.

At the same pace, over ten years

Keeping this pace for a decade costs around 1,092 €. The bookmaker doesn't need you to lose: it just needs you to keep playing.

Seen from the other side

That figure isn't a fee for a service. It's the profit the business extracts from you. The bookmaker doesn't bet against chance: it bets that you'll come back.

It's an expected loss, not an exact verdict: your real result swings match to match. But the longer you play, the closer it gets to this figure. No system or streak changes the margin.